SOL Price Prediction: Navigating Short-Term Pressure Amidst Strong Fundamentals

#SOL

• Technical Crossroads: SOL is in a short-term corrective phase, trading below its key 20-day moving average with bearish MACD momentum. A break back above 135.8 USDT is needed to signal a shift in near-term sentiment.
• Fundamental Strength: Despite the price action, Solana is gaining significant institutional validation (Cantor Fitzgerald's ETF stake) and real-world utility expansion (Kalshi integration), providing a solid foundation for future growth.
• Price Trajectory: The immediate target for a bullish reversal is the upper Bollinger Band near 146 USDT. The convergence of technical recovery and strong fundamentals could unlock more substantial gains in the medium term, making the current level a potential accumulation zone for long-term believers.

SOL Price Prediction

Technical Analysis: SOL Shows Consolidation Below Key Moving Average

SOL is currently trading at, positioned below its 20-day moving average of 135.81. This suggests a short-term bearish pressure, as the price is trading beneath a key dynamic support level. The MACD indicator, with a value of -5.27, confirms a bearish momentum crossover, indicating that selling pressure has recently dominated. However, the price is trading within the lower half of the Bollinger Bands (125.76 - 145.87), which can sometimes signal a potential consolidation phase or a nearing oversold condition rather than a strong directional trend.

"The technical picture shows SOL in a corrective phase," says BTCC financial analyst John. "Trading below the 20-day MA with a negative MACD points to near-term weakness. The key level to watch for a bullish reversal WOULD be a sustained break back above the 135.8 MA. Until then, support at the lower Bollinger Band near 125.8 becomes critical."

Institutional Adoption Fuels Long-Term SOL Sentiment

Recent news flow for solana is decidedly positive from an adoption standpoint. The integration by prediction market platform Kalshi to use Solana for tokenized event contracts directly targets the crypto trader demographic, expanding its utility. More significantly, Cantor Fitzgerald's $1.28 million stake in a Solana ETF is a clear signal of growing institutional interest, which often precedes broader market recognition and inflows.

"These developments are fundamentally bullish," notes BTCC's John. "While technicals show short-term price pressure, the news of a major traditional finance firm taking a position and a trading platform building on Solana speaks to strong underlying network value and long-term confidence. This institutional validation can provide a solid foundation for price recovery once the short-term technical headwinds subside."

Factors Influencing SOL’s Price

Kalshi Adopts Solana for Tokenized Event Contracts in Bid for Crypto Traders

Prediction market platform Kalshi has launched tokenized versions of its event contracts on Solana, marking a strategic pivot toward crypto-native traders. The MOVE positions Kalshi against rival Polymarket, which has captured significant market share among blockchain-savvy speculators.

Tokenized contracts mirror traditional Kalshi wagers but exist as transferable Solana blockchain tokens. This structure grants traders pseudonymity and flexible custody options while maintaining identical economic exposure to underlying events. Decentralized finance protocols DFlow and Jupiter are facilitating institutional access to these tokenized markets.

The integration effectively bridges Kalshi's off-chain order book with Solana's liquidity pools. 'We're giving DeFi traders native access to our markets through their preferred infrastructure,' a company representative noted. The development signals growing convergence between traditional prediction markets and decentralized finance architectures.

Cantor Fitzgerald Takes $1.28M Stake in Solana ETF, Signaling Institutional Interest

Cantor Fitzgerald has disclosed a $1.28 million investment in the Volatility Shares solana ETF (SOLZ), marking its first reported exposure to a regulated Solana product. The financial services firm acquired 58,000 shares, valued at $1,282,960 as of mid-November, according to an SEC filing.

The move highlights growing institutional appetite for crypto-linked ETFs as new products enter U.S. markets. Cantor Fitzgerald's $11.37 billion portfolio maintains concentrated positions, with just 17 holdings comprising 80% of its assets. The firm actively reshuffled its portfolio in Q3, selling 91.75% of holdings while making new purchases representing 39.53% of assets.

Solana continues gaining traction among traditional finance players, with this investment following a wave of institutional crypto product launches. The blockchain's native token SOL has emerged as a top performer among smart contract platforms, now attracting serious capital from Wall Street firms.

Kalshi Expands Crypto Offerings with Solana Integration

Prediction market platform Kalshi is making a strategic pivot toward blockchain integration by tokenizing thousands of its event contracts on Solana. The move, announced exclusively to CNBC, bridges the platform's traditional off-chain order book with on-chain liquidity through a system called MOVE. This positions Kalshi to compete directly with on-chain rivals like Polymarket while attracting crypto-native traders.

Tokenized contracts will mirror existing offerings but unlock blockchain-specific advantages. Institutional partnerships with DeFi protocols DFlow and Jupiter aim to merge Kalshi's order FLOW with Solana's liquidity pools. "Tapping into the $3 trillion digital asset market is about liquidity scalability," said John Wang, Kalshi's head of crypto, underscoring the platform's ambition to capture growing demand for event derivatives.

How High Will SOL Price Go?

Predicting an exact price target is challenging, but based on the current technical setup and fundamental news, we can outline a probable scenario. In the short term (1-4 weeks), SOL faces resistance at its 20-day Moving Average (135.8 USDT). A break and hold above this level could signal the end of the current corrective phase and open a path toward testing the upper Bollinger Band near 145.9 USDT.

The more compelling case is for the medium to long term. The significant institutional investment and platform adoption news provide strong fundamental tailwinds. If SOL can reclaim the 20-day MA as support, a move to challenge previous higher resistance levels becomes plausible. The convergence of improving technicals and sustained positive fundamentals could propel SOL significantly higher over the coming quarters.

"The path higher depends on which narrative wins out," explains BTCC analyst John. "The short-term technicals suggest caution, but the institutional news is a powerful catalyst that often works on a longer timeline. Investors should watch for a technical reversal to confirm that the positive fundamentals are beginning to be reflected in the price."